FC Tokyovs
Kyoto Sanga
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/6/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tokyo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Tokyo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Original prediction
FC Tokyo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 56.9% | 50.7% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 24.4% | 24.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.99 | 18.8% | 25.1% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
FC Tokyo
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC TokyoDWWWD
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kyoto SangaDWWLD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC TokyoKyoto Sanga
60.0Attack46.7
46.7Defence40.0
53.3Form33.3
53.2Power43.0
1.92xG1.25