GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/28/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Tokyo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 61.3-point power-rating edge (25.2 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TokyoWDDWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Kashiwa ReysolLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC TokyoKashiwa Reysol
50.0Attack83.3
0.0Defence66.7
16.7Form100.0
25.2Power86.5
1.20xG1.86
View match centre →