Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Tokyo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kashima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 58.2-point power-rating edge (25.2 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
11.3%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00