GGOALVIO

FC Tokyo logoFC TokyovsCerezo Osaka logoCerezo Osaka

COMPLETED

Japan · J1 League · 6/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Tokyo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Tokyo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerezo Osaka hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (25.2 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the J1 League, while FC Tokyo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Tokyo

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

12.7%

FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TokyoDLDWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cerezo OsakaDWWWD

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FC TokyoCerezo Osaka
50.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
16.7Form50.0
25.2Power42.7
1.51xG1.41
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