GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Thun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Thun are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Vikingur Reykjavik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Thun hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while FC Thun holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Thun

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

10.7%

FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC ThunLLWDL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vikingur ReykjavikDLWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC ThunVikingur Reykjavik
83.3Attack50.0
50.0Defence16.7
50.0Form50.0
59.3Power42.7
2.02xG1.27
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