GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 7/21/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Thun · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

FC Thun are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Stade Nyonnais are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Thun hold a 44.0-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.5% in the Challenge League, while FC Thun holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Thun

Probability

75.5%

Model confidence

75.5%

FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC ThunLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Stade NyonnaisLWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
FC ThunStade Nyonnais
67.6Attack22.2
64.8Defence33.3
70.4Form0.0
66.9Power22.9
2.75xG0.74
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