FC Thunvs
Servette FC
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Thun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Thun 2-4 Servette FC
Original prediction
FC Thun
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 33.8% | 40.3% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.8% | 24.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 40.4% | 35.0% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Thun
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 15 · avg 2.80/3.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00