FC Thunvs
Grasshoppers
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Thun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Thun 0-1 Grasshoppers
Original prediction
FC Thun
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.3% | 47.2% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.9% | 22.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.9% | 30.0% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
FC Thun
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80