GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/14/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Thun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

FC Thun are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC WIL 1900 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Thun hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Thun holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Thun

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC ThunWWWLW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC WIL 1900WWDDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC ThunFC WIL 1900
84.6Attack63.9
74.4Defence47.2
66.7Form47.2
70.7Power51.9
3.11xG1.00
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