GGOALVIO

FC Tallinn logoFC TallinnvsViimsi logoViimsi

COMPLETED

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 10/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Viimsi · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Tallinn 0-3 Viimsi

Original prediction

Viimsi

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.3020.9%22.6%1.7 pts
Draw4.2920.9%25.0%4.1 pts
Away1.5458.2%52.4%-5.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–115%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–014%

Predicted outcome

Viimsi

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TallinnLWLWD

GF 8 · GA 19 · avg 1.60/3.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ViimsiDWLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC TallinnViimsi
42.7Attack28.9
24.0Defence84.1
36.5Form44.3
36.5Power51.9
0.80xG1.30
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