GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 5/1/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

FC Tallinn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Tartu Welco are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.0% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

81.0%

Model confidence

81.0%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TallinnWDLLW

GF 12 · GA 16 · avg 2.40/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tartu WelcoDLWWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC TallinnTartu Welco
43.9Attack97.0
24.2Defence54.5
36.4Form68.2
37.0Power70.4
1.22xG4.27
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