GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 5/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tallinna Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

FC Tallinn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tallinna Kalev hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Esiliiga A, while Tallinna Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tallinna Kalev

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

7.5%

Tallinna Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TallinnLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tallinna KalevWDWLL

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC TallinnTallinna Kalev
43.9Attack65.2
24.2Defence36.4
36.4Form43.9
37.0Power48.7
1.82xG2.90
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