GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/18/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paide II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

FC Tallinn are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Paide II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Paide II hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Esiliiga A, while Paide II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paide II

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Paide II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TallinnLLDDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Paide IIWLLLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC TallinnPaide II
43.9Attack61.1
24.2Defence24.1
36.4Form38.0
37.0Power41.4
2.21xG2.67
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