GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 4/2/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nõmme United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

FC Tallinn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nõmme United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United hold a 45.4-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 82.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nõmme United

Probability

88.9%

Model confidence

88.9%

Nõmme United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TallinnWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nõmme UnitedWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC TallinnNõmme United
43.9Attack100.0
24.2Defence73.1
36.4Form83.3
37.0Power82.4
0.78xG4.42
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