GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 4/4/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Tallinn are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Nõmme Kalju II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tallinn hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Esiliiga A, while FC Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Tallinn

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

FC Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TallinnDLDLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Nõmme Kalju IILDLLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC TallinnNõmme Kalju II
43.9Attack47.0
24.2Defence12.1
36.4Form28.8
37.0Power31.8
2.63xG2.00
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