FC Tallinnvs
Maardu
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 5/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maardu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
FC Tallinn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Maardu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Maardu hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Esiliiga A, while Maardu holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maardu
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
7.5%
Maardu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80