FC Tallinnvs
Laagri
COMPLETEDEstonia · Cup · 10/3/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laagri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Tallinn 0-10 Laagri
Original prediction
Laagri
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.75 | 8.5% | 33.6% | 25.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.55 | 13.9% | 21.7% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 1.17 | 77.6% | 44.7% | -32.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Laagri
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Laagri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC TallinnWDLWW
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LaagriDWLLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC TallinnLaagri
100.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
93.8Power89.8
2.46xG2.06