GGOALVIO

FC Tallinn logoFC TallinnvsElva logoElva

COMPLETED

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/7/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

FC Tallinn are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Elva are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Esiliiga A, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Elva

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

8.5%

Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TallinnLLWWL

GF 13 · GA 14 · avg 2.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ElvaWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC TallinnElva
43.9Attack62.1
24.2Defence45.5
36.4Form51.5
37.0Power54.1
1.53xG2.81
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