GGOALVIO

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/30/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC St. Pauli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC St. Pauli are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while 1. FC Kaiserslautern are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the 2. Bundesliga, while FC St. Pauli holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC St. Pauli

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

12.9%

FC St. Pauli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC St. PauliDDDLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
1. FC KaiserslauternDDWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC St. Pauli1. FC Kaiserslautern
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.55xG1.32
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