FC St. Paulivs
Borussia Mönchengladbach
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borussia Mönchengladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC St. Pauli 1-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Original prediction
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 07:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 30.2% | 31.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.6% | 26.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 45.2% | 42.3% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Borussia Mönchengladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20