FC ST. Gallenvs
Lausanne
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 10/11/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC ST. Gallen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC ST. Gallen 1-0 Lausanne
Original prediction
FC ST. Gallen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 61.2% | 58.0% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 20.5% | 21.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.07 | 18.3% | 20.5% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
FC ST. Gallen
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
FC ST. Gallen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20