FC ST. Gallenvs
FC Sion
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC ST. Gallen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC ST. Gallen 0-3 FC Sion
Original prediction
FC ST. Gallen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 43.6% | 40.1% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.7% | 23.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.7% | 36.6% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
FC ST. Gallen
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
FC ST. Gallen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80