FC ST. Gallenvs
FC Nordsjaelland
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Nordsjaelland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC ST. Gallen 2-3 FC Nordsjaelland
Original prediction
FC Nordsjaelland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 43.3% | 35.7% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 24.0% | 25.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.6% | 38.6% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Nordsjaelland
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
FC Nordsjaelland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 12 · GA 0 · avg 2.40/0.00