GGOALVIO

FC ST. Gallen logoFC ST. GallenvsFC Luzern logoFC Luzern

COMPLETED

Switzerland · Super League · 8/6/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC ST. Gallen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC ST. Gallen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Luzern are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC ST. Gallen hold a 47.7-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Super League, while FC ST. Gallen holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC ST. Gallen

Probability

65.5%

Model confidence

65.5%

FC ST. Gallen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC ST. GallenLLLWW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC LuzernDWWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC ST. GallenFC Luzern
77.8Attack33.3
44.4Defence11.1
77.8Form11.1
70.7Power23.1
2.70xG1.17
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