GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Super League · 7/22/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC ST. Gallen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC ST. Gallen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Basel 1893 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC ST. Gallen hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Super League, while FC ST. Gallen holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC ST. Gallen

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

FC ST. Gallen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC ST. GallenWLWWL

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC Basel 1893WLWLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FC ST. GallenFC Basel 1893
77.8Attack55.6
44.4Defence66.7
77.8Form66.7
70.7Power64.7
1.81xG1.50
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