UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:05
FC ST. Gallen

FC ST. Gallen

Home
L
21
Full time
Benfica

Benfica

Away
W
Kybunpark
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
FC ST. Gallen(35%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
FC ST. Gallen
35%
Draw
25%
Benfica
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FC ST. Gallen
9
Benfica
73
Defence
FC ST. Gallen
6
Benfica
91
Momentum
FC ST. Gallen
0
Benfica
100
Danger (xG)
FC ST. Gallen
0.00
Benfica
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (FC ST. Gallen)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Benfica)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (FC ST. Gallen)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Benfica)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
LD
BenficaBenfica
WWD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
FC ST. Gallen35%
Draw25%
Benfica40%

Benfica leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FC ST. Gallen head into this in UEFA Europa League fixture at Kybunpark in mixed form (L), while Benfica arrive in mixed form (W). FC ST. Gallen have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Benfica over 1 games.

Tactically, Benfica hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable FC ST. Gallen defence (6/100), while FC ST. Gallen's attack faces a watertight Benfica backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

FC ST. Gallen have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Benfica have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between FC ST. Gallen and Benfica in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects FC ST. Gallen to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: FC ST. Gallen 3492%, Draw 2543%, Benfica 3965%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

FC ST. Gallen

FC ST. Gallen

L
vs Norwich
17 Jul 2026
03
D
@ FC Basel 1893
14 May 2026
00
Benfica

Benfica

W
vs Villarreal
17 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Estoril
16 May 2026
30
D
vs SC Braga
11 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica?

GoalVio's model predicts FC ST. Gallen to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more