Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sochi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FC Sochi are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Struga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sochi hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Sochi
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
9.1%
FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00