Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sochi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
FC Sochi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bars are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sochi hold a 49.4-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Sochi
Probability
82.9%
Model confidence
10.3%
FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20