Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FC Sochi are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Baltika are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Baltika hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Premier League, while Baltika holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80