Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Slutsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Slutsk 1-0 Uni Minsk
Original prediction
FC Slutsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 73.8% | 67.5% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.26 | 17.1% | 19.0% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 9.85 | 9.1% | 13.5% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Slutsk
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
67.5%
FC Slutsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC SlutskWWWWD
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Uni MinskLDLLD
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC SlutskUni Minsk
73.7Attack31.6
59.6Defence50.9
73.7Form35.1
70.5Power41.2
2.57xG0.65