GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 4/2/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Minsk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Slutsk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Minsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Minsk hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.9% in the Premier League, while FC Minsk holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Minsk

Probability

33.9%

Model confidence

33.9%

FC Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SlutskWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC MinskWDDLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC SlutskFC Minsk
45.2Attack47.9
52.4Defence56.3
41.7Form52.1
48.7Power53.3
1.25xG1.27
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