Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sion · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
FC Sion are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Aarau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sion hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (72.5 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.5% in the Challenge League, while FC Sion holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Sion
Probability
73.5%
Model confidence
73.5%
FC Sion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00