GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 8/4/2023, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Sion · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

FC Sion are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bellinzona are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sion hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (72.5 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.6% in the Challenge League, while FC Sion holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Sion

Probability

72.6%

Model confidence

72.6%

FC Sion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SionWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BellinzonaDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC SionBellinzona
66.7Attack36.1
78.7Defence53.7
73.1Form38.9
72.5Power44.5
2.17xG0.51
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