UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 30 July 202619:15Updated today
FC Sion

FC Sion

Home
L
vs
19:15
Bate Borisov

Bate Borisov

Away
DD
Stade de Tourbillon
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
FC Sion(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
FC Sion
39%
Draw
26%
Bate Borisov
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FC Sion
9
Bate Borisov
18
Defence
FC Sion
66
Bate Borisov
82
Momentum
FC Sion
0
Bate Borisov
33
Danger (xG)
FC Sion
0.00
Bate Borisov
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (FC Sion)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Bate Borisov)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (FC Sion)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Bate Borisov)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FC SionFC Sion
L
Bate BorisovBate Borisov
DDLLL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
FC Sion39%
Draw26%
Bate Borisov35%

FC Sion leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FC Sion head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Stade de Tourbillon in mixed form (L), while Bate Borisov arrive in mixed form (DD). FC Sion have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Bate Borisov over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — FC Sion (66/100) and Bate Borisov (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

FC Sion have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Bate Borisov have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between FC Sion and Bate Borisov in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects FC Sion to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: FC Sion 3916%, Draw 2592%, Bate Borisov 3491%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

FC Sion

FC Sion

L
vs FC Lugano
14 May 2026
01
Bate Borisov

Bate Borisov

D
vs AF Elbasani
16 Jul 2026
00
D
@ AF Elbasani
7 Jul 2026
11
L
vs FC Gomel
2 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Torpedo Zhodino
27 Jun 2026
03
L
vs Arsenal
21 Jun 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FC Sion vs Bate Borisov?

GoalVio's model predicts FC Sion to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FC Sion vs Bate Borisov?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in FC Sion vs Bate Borisov?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Sion vs Bate Borisov?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more