Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Sion are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Noah are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sion hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while FC Sion holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Sion
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
12.0%
FC Sion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40