Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Sion 2-4 Ajax
Original prediction
Ajax
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ajax
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC SionWWWDW
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AjaxDDWWW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC SionAjax
75.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence58.3
66.7Form83.3
68.8Power80.5
1.70xG1.50