GGOALVIO

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 8/27/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Serpa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FC Serpa are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Oriental Lisboa are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Serpa hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, while FC Serpa holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Serpa

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

FC Serpa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SerpaL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Oriental LisboaDDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.33/3.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
FC SerpaOriental Lisboa
34.6Attack39.7
61.5Defence38.5
43.6Form37.2
48.8Power40.8
1.40xG0.82
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