GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Two · 9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Seoul · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Seoul 0-1 Persib Bandung

Original prediction

FC Seoul

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 07:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5956.7%40.6%-16.1 pts
Draw3.8223.5%26.9%3.3 pts
Away4.5519.8%32.6%12.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-16.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

FC Seoul

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

FC Seoul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SeoulWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Persib BandungLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC SeoulPersib Bandung
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.46xG1.53
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