FC Seoulvs
Jeju United FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Seoul · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Seoul 1-0 Jeju United FC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Seoul 2-1 Jeju United FC
Original prediction
FC Seoul
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.7% | 52.8% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.6% | 27.0% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 5.24 | 17.7% | 20.1% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Projected Score
FC Seoul 1–0 Jeju United FC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
FC Seoul
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
FC Seoul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC SeoulLLWLW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Jeju United FCWDWDW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC SeoulJeju United FC
62.2Attack38.9
72.2Defence67.8
68.9Form51.1
67.5Power54.9
1.34xG0.57