FC Seoulvs
Incheon United
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Seoul · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Seoul 1-0 Incheon United, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Seoul 1-0 Incheon United
Original prediction
FC Seoul
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.9% | 61.6% | 12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.2% | 23.2% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 23.8% | 15.2% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.7 pts
Projected Score
FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
FC Seoul
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
FC Seoul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC SeoulWWWWD
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Incheon UnitedDLWDD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FC SeoulIncheon United
66.7Attack42.7
73.1Defence62.7
71.8Form45.3
69.9Power51.8
1.69xG0.59