FC Seoulvs
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 10/18/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Seoul · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Seoul 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Seoul 2-2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Original prediction
FC Seoul
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 61.2% | 68.2% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.9% | 20.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.50 | 16.9% | 11.0% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Projected Score
FC Seoul 1–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
FC Seoul
Probability
68.2%
Model confidence
68.2%
FC Seoul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC SeoulLWLLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gimcheon Sangmu FCLWDDD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC SeoulGimcheon Sangmu FC
62.4Attack32.3
72.0Defence60.2
69.9Form35.5
67.9Power45.1
1.71xG0.46