FC Seoulvs
Gangwon FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Seoul · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Seoul 1-0 Gangwon FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Seoul 1-1 Gangwon FC
Original prediction
FC Seoul
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 51.4% | 45.8% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.6% | 29.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 22.0% | 24.9% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Projected Score
FC Seoul 1–0 Gangwon FC
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
FC Seoul
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
FC Seoul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC SeoulDLWLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gangwon FCDLWDL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC SeoulGangwon FC
62.5Attack40.6
70.8Defence69.8
68.8Form49.0
67.3Power54.2
1.26xG0.62