FC Schweinfurt 05vs
Eltersdorf
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eltersdorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Schweinfurt 05 1-1 Eltersdorf
Original prediction
Eltersdorf
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.4% | 31.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.4% | 26.3% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.2% | 42.7% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Eltersdorf
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Eltersdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80