FC Schalke 04vs
SV Elversberg
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 9/20/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Schalke 04 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Schalke 04 0-0 SV Elversberg
Original prediction
FC Schalke 04
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 48.9% | 39.5% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 25.2% | 25.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 25.8% | 35.5% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Schalke 04
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
FC Schalke 04 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80