FC Schalke 04vs
Bayern München
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 9/5/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern München · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern München
Original prediction
Bayern München
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13.53 | 7.0% | 24.0% | 17.0 pts |
| Draw | 8.60 | 11.1% | 22.4% | 11.3 pts |
| Away | 1.16 | 81.9% | 53.6% | -28.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 7.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Bayern München
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Bayern München has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20