GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 8/4/2023, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC WIL 1900 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Schaffhausen are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while FC WIL 1900 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Schaffhausen hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Challenge League, while FC WIL 1900 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC WIL 1900

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

FC WIL 1900 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SchaffhausenLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FC WIL 1900WWLDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC SchaffhausenFC WIL 1900
33.3Attack66.7
49.1Defence0.0
35.2Form33.3
41.3Power35.0
1.32xG1.53
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