GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 7/28/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Thun · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

FC Schaffhausen are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while FC Thun are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Thun hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Challenge League, while FC Thun holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Thun

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

65.3%

FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SchaffhausenLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FC ThunDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC SchaffhausenFC Thun
33.3Attack67.6
49.1Defence64.8
35.2Form70.4
41.3Power66.9
0.70xG2.06
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