UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:09
FC Santa Coloma

FC Santa Coloma

Home
WW
30
Full time
Penybont

Penybont

Away
LL
Estadi Nacional
GoalVio prediction
65% confidence
FC Santa Coloma(65%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: FC Santa Coloma
Win probability
FC Santa Coloma
65%
Draw
22%
Penybont
13%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FC Santa Coloma
73
Penybont
9
Defence
FC Santa Coloma
91
Penybont
27
Momentum
FC Santa Coloma
100
Penybont
0
Danger (xG)
FC Santa Coloma
1.80
Penybont
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (FC Santa Coloma)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Penybont)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (FC Santa Coloma)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Penybont)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma
WWL
PenybontPenybont
LL

Probability breakdown

65% confidence
FC Santa Coloma65%
Draw22%
Penybont13%

FC Santa Coloma leads with 65% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FC Santa Coloma head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Estadi Nacional in decent form (WW), while Penybont arrive in mixed form (LL). FC Santa Coloma have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Penybont over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. FC Santa Coloma's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Penybont defence (27/100), while Penybont's attack is up against a watertight FC Santa Coloma backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in FC Santa Coloma's favour.

FC Santa Coloma have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Penybont have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

FC Santa Coloma have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects FC Santa Coloma to win with 65% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: FC Santa Coloma 6525%, Draw 2170%, Penybont 1305%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

FC Santa Coloma 2Draws 00 Penybont
Avg goals: 2.0
16 Jul 2026
FC Santa Coloma
W30
Penybont
9 Jul 2026
FC Santa Coloma
W10
Penybont

Recent form

FC Santa Coloma

FC Santa Coloma

W
vs Penybont
16 Jul 2026
30
W
@ Penybont
9 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Ranger's
16 May 2026
02
Penybont

Penybont

L
@ FC Santa Coloma
16 Jul 2026
03
L
vs FC Santa Coloma
9 Jul 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont?

GoalVio's model predicts FC Santa Coloma to win with 65% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more