FC Santa Colomavs
Penya Encarnada
COMPLETEDAndorra · 1a Divisió · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Santa Coloma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Santa Coloma 4-0 Penya Encarnada
Original prediction
FC Santa Coloma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 68.3% | 51.8% | -16.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 19.7% | 24.9% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 7.38 | 12.1% | 23.3% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Santa Coloma
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
FC Santa Coloma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40