FC Santa Colomavs
Casa de Portugal
COMPLETEDAndorra · 1a Divisió · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Santa Coloma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Santa Coloma 5-0 Casa de Portugal
Original prediction
FC Santa Coloma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 68.7% | 62.2% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.99 | 18.1% | 20.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 6.83 | 13.2% | 17.3% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Santa Coloma
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
FC Santa Coloma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33